In order to verify the prediction efficiency , 27 interplanetary shock events from january 1979 to june 1982 and 68 interplanetary shock events from february 1997 to january 2000 are used for testing . comparing the results of our disturbance model to those obtained by stoa and ispm , we find that our disturbance model is as good as the other two models , and in some cases even better 为印证扰动传播模型的适用性，利用79年到82年间的27个激波事件，以及97年2月到2000年1月间的68个激波事件，对激波到达地球轨道附近的传播时间进行了预测，并将结果与目前流行的行星际激波事件到达地球轨道时间的stoa和ispm预报模型所得结果进行了比较。
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The disturbance model can give the prediction for all the 95 shock events , while stoa model works for 89 events and ispm model for only 72 events . we arrive at 25 . 26 % percentage of all the 95 events with the relative time error less than 10 % , 50 . 53 % of all the events with the relative time error less than 20 % , 65 . 26 % of all the events with the relative time error less than 30 % , 31 . 58 % of all the events with the relative time error between 60 % ~ 80 % 实验表明，我们的模型在所有95个事件中，渡越时间相对误差小于10的事件数占总事件数的25 . 26 ；相对误差小于20的占总事件数的50 . 53 ；相对误差小于30的占总事件的65 . 26 ；相对误差在30 60的之间的事件数有30个，占总事件的31 . 58 ；有3个事件相对误差在60 80之间，没有哪个事件相对误差大于80 。
